Pre-engagement non-brand performance (favorable estimates, since half of spend was hidden by Google's privacy threshold):
| Metric | Before |
|---|---|
| Cost per non-brand qualified opportunity | $3,000-$5,000 |
| Cost per non-brand admit | $9,000+ |
| Identified waste (visible portion only) | $34K of $135K (25%) |
| Brand spend cannibalized into general campaigns | $17,830 in 90 days |
| Primary conversion signal | 60-second phone calls |
For context, qualified opportunity means anyone past Missing Info in Salesforce. So VOB on Queue, VOB In Progress, Priority Follow Ups, Follow Ups, Adolescent Follow Ups, Needs Travel/Detox, At Detox, Scheduled for Admission, all the way through Admitted and Alumni.
Pulled the full 365 days of Salesforce admit data. Headline numbers:
| State | Admits | Avg case (est) | Revenue (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 15 | $16,310 | $244,649 |
| Pennsylvania | 14 | $9,833 | $137,664 |
| Illinois | 14 | $11,972 | $167,603 |
| New York | 13 | $12,729 | $165,471 |
| New Jersey | 12 | $9,448 | $113,382 |
| Texas | 10 | $15,275 | $152,749 |
| Georgia | 10 | $16,416 | $164,157 |
| Maryland | 9 | $14,736 | $132,624 |
| South Carolina | 9 | $11,211 | $100,899 |
| North Carolina | 7 | $16,971 | $118,797 |
Revenue and case values are pulled from Salesforce's Estimated Revenue field. Actual Revenue is empty across the dataset, so accuracy of these estimates is unverified. Worth validating against collected revenue at some point.
States flagged on Saturday: GA, TN, IL, IN, MO, NJ, NY. Removing: TX, SC. Open clarification on the "above 90" comment.
| State | Preference | Admits 365d | Avg case (est) | Revenue (est) | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GA | Yes | 10 | $16,416 | $164k | Tier 1 |
| NY | Yes | 13 | $12,729 | $165k | Tier 1 (best OOS close rate at 32%) |
| NJ | Yes | 12 | $9,448 | $113k | Tier 1 |
| IL | Yes | 14 | $11,972 | $167k | Tier 2 |
| TN | Yes | 3 | $14,550 | $44k | Tier 2 test |
| IN | Yes | 1 | $10,000 | $10k | Small historical signal, test market |
| MO | Yes | 1 | $0 | $0 | Small historical signal, test market |
| TX | No | 10 | $15,275 | $152k | Removing from targeting |
| SC | No | 9 | $11,211 | $101k | Removing from targeting |
| State | Admits | Avg case (est) | Revenue (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA | 15 | $16,310 | $244k |
| PA | 14 | $9,833 | $137k |
| MD | 9 | $14,736 | $132k |
MA is the largest OOS market by volume and revenue. Are these intentional omissions or just not top-of-mind?
Phase 1 launch (tier 1): NY, GA, NJ. Highest admit volume, highest case value, and zero current paid presence. NY has the best historical close rate of any out-of-state market.
Phase 2 expansion (tier 2): IL, TN.
Probe markets (low historical signal): IN, MO. Small budgets, watch quality.
Open question for this call: MA, PA, MD — high admit volume but not on the Saturday list. Decision needed on inclusion.
Currently running 2 campaigns: Branded + General Rehab. Proposed next state: 3 total non-brand campaigns, max.
| Campaign | Targets | 365d admits in this category |
|---|---|---|
| Branded | Ambrosia + Neuroscience Institute + The Academy brand terms | existing |
| General Rehab / SUD | Drug + alcohol addiction, detox, residential, substance use disorder. Vague intent that doesn't identify MH or adolescent. | ~440 (Detox + SUD Res + SUD PHP) |
| Mental Health | Depression, anxiety, dual diagnosis, residential mental health. | ~535 (largest program category, 53% of admits) |
| Adolescent (The Academy) | Teen / adolescent residential. Their highest case value ($17,919 avg). | 162 (Academy) |
Most of our understanding of the Salesforce funnel and admissions process came from background conversations. Wanted to verify the picture and pick up operational signal that doesn't show in the data.